Using mathematical models to find out the degree of spread of the Corona virus in Libya during the period from 2020.4.13 to 2021.5.1

Abstract

   Infectious diseases are considered as a major challenge to scientific research, In terms of its rapid and dangerous spread. An example is the Corona virus (Covid-19), which developed into a pandemic recently due to its contagious nature, its frequently changing characteristics, and the lack of a vaccine or effective drugs for it. Therefore, there is an urgent need for a model to measure and prevent the continued spread of this epidemic in order to provide smart health services and reduce the negative effects of the epidemic.

    In this paper, the behavior of the Covid-19 virus has been studied through what is known as epidemiological modeling, using the SIR model, where the results of the analysis are presented as a means to predict the disease in Libya between 13-April-2020 to 1-May-2021